SOL desk
Cash, futures, or neither. A green candle is not a buy. Three books — careful, standard, aggressive — on the same market.
How far ahead
Updated 0s ago
Today. Default. What to do with SOL through the next day. Matches a real trend, not a 4-hour scalp.
The call
This is a long. Own SOL. The standard book says 1× with a hard stop. Do not fade it.
Conviction 46/100 · Uptrend is live. This print is a dip, not a new trend. · Transitional / Unclear · Two-sided / unclear
Why
Don't
What would change it
SOL
$97.53
+1.02%
What's driving it
Two-sided / unclear
Open interest +7.78%
Funding, 8 hours
0.008%
67% of accounts are long
Wipeout risk
100 / 56
longs below / shorts above
Same market, three risk appetites. Careful protects the account. Standard is the desk default. Aggressive only sizes up when the math still works.
Careful
Uptrend is live. This print is a dip, not a new trend. Keep a core. Do not sell it because it went up.
This book will not take the crowded side of the tape.
Stop is 0.92% away. This book risks 0.6% if that stop hits. Cap 5×.
Standard
Uptrend is live. This is a dip, not a top. Buy SOL. Do not short it.
Go long now. Buy between $97.33 and $97.82. Stop-loss at $96.63: if price hits it, close the entire futures trade. That is a hard stop — do not move it further away. Take profit at $100.75: sell about half there, lock the gain, and move the stop-loss up to your entry so the leftover cannot turn into a loss. Let the rest run toward $102.62. Exchange liquidation is estimated at $0.49, which sits beyond the stop-loss, so the stop should hit first.
Stop-loss is 0.92% away. This book risks 1.5% of the account if that stop hits, which is why size is 1× (max allowed here 5×).
Aggressive
Buy the dip. The trend is intact. Fade is how you get run over.
Go long now. Buy between $97.33 and $97.82. Stop-loss at $96.63: if price hits it, close the entire futures trade. That is a hard stop — do not move it further away. Take profit at $100.75: sell about half there, lock the gain, and move the stop-loss up to your entry so the leftover cannot turn into a loss. Let the rest run toward $102.62. Exchange liquidation is estimated at $65.51, which sits beyond the stop-loss, so the stop should hit first.
Stop-loss is 0.92% away. This book risks 2.75% of the account if that stop hits, which is why size is 3× (max allowed here 5×).
Leverage is not a personality trait. Careful is willing to lose 0.6% of the account if the stop hits; standard 1.5%; aggressive 2.75%. We divide that by how far the stop is, then cut it if the market is crowded or estimated liquidation levels sit nearby. 8–10× only happens when the stop is very tight and the trend is clean. A squeeze day is usually no futures at all.
Price · 1d · hourly
Coinbase
Dashed green = fee-earning range, if one is suggested. Dotted lines = estimated liquidation pockets.
Estimated liquidation levels
Longs below at risk 100/100
Shorts above at risk 56/100
Estimated long wipeout pocket: $96.90 (-0.6% below).
Estimated short wipeout pocket: $98.99 (1.5% above).
Actual liquidations on OKX in the last hour: $0 of shorts wiped, $30,664 of longs wiped.
These bars are an estimate, not a copy of Binance, OKX, or Hyperliquid's own map — those maps are not published. We take real Binance open interest (how much leveraged SOL is still in the trade), the real Binance long/short split, and recent 15-minute volume, then plot where 5×–100× positions would get force-closed. The only live prints are OKX liquidations from the last hour. Hyperliquid is used for funding, not this picture.
Every input is scored. A veto beats a pretty chart.
Chart structure
supports long · +10
Uptrend is live. This print is a dip, not a new trend.
Positioning
neutral · -4
Unclear fuel. OI 24h 7.8 · funding 0.008% / 8h
Estimated liquidation levels
caution · -4
A long-wipeout pocket sits under the market. Cap leverage. The bigger uptrend is still the uptrend.
Liquidations already printed (1h)
caution · -8
OKX is printing long liquidations now. Cascade in progress — chasing shorts is late.
SOL versus Bitcoin
neutral · 0
SOL moving with BTC
On-chain activity
neutral · 0
DEX 24h $3.00B · Meteora $299.15M
Network congestion
veto mm · -4
Priority tips are hot — vol expansion risk. Do not harvest a range.
Walk-forward on 1h bars: long a live uptrend, short only a stalled squeeze. Continuation rips are not shorts. Heatmap/funding still live overlays.
Scored 116 elapsed snapshots. Almost all were No Trade — directional hit rate needs more trade calls.
Network tips are hot — that often precedes a volatility expansion
Optional Grok read of the same numbers. User-initiated only.
Not financial advice. Data as of 8/25/2026, 7:44:54 PM. Gaps: none.